Over half of UK letting agents think buy let surcharge will push up rents

Over half of UK letting agents believe the new buy to let stamp duty surcharge from April will push up rent costs, new research has found.

It could also trigger a decline in the supply of available properties coming onto the rental market, according to the report from the Association of Residential Letting Agents (ARLA).

The report also points out that in February demand for rental properties grew to an average 37 per letting agent branch, the highest since February 2015, as supply increased marginally.

Some 52% of letting agents reported an uplift in interest from buyers looking to invest in by to let properties before the stamp duty reforms come into effect, up from 47% in January.

However, after the 01 April deadline some 63% predict that supply will fall as landlords are pushed out of the market.

Some 57% of ARLA members agree rents will be pushed up once the stamp duty reforms have come in to effect, as increased costs for landlords are passed through to tenants. This is especially high in London, where 73% of letting agents expect to see this happening.

‘The stamp duty changes are now imminent, and as well as hitting small landlord’s, they will also impact institutional investors,’ said David Cox, ARLA managing director.

‘Although members are reporting a rush from landlords trying to snap up their buy to let investments now, it’s likely that we’ll see the buy to let market drop like a stone come April and probably not pick up again until next year. This will most certainly cause rents to increase, with supply dropping, as competition for the limited availability of properties intensifies,’ he explained.

The report also shows that demand rose by 19% in February, with an average 37 prospective tenants registered per member branch. This is the highest level seen since February last year, when an average 40 tenants were registered per branch. Alongside growing demand, the supply of rental properties on letting agents’ books increased to 176 in February, a rise from 172 in January.

‘The demand for housing continues to intensify as supply remains an issue across most of the country. We are concerned that the government rhetoric of wanting to help people onto the housing ladder does not tally with their action of continuing to target the rental market with additional costs,’ said Cox.

‘Some landlords will simply withdraw from the market whereas others who can take the hit of the extra stamp duty will simply raise rents to cover the extra costs. The dream of home ownership will remain out of reach for many as we move closer towards becoming a nation of forever renters,’ he added.