Property sales in Scotland up 4% in 2015, down from 11% the previous year

Residential sales in Scotland increased by 4% in 2015, well below the 11% recorded in the previous year, a new analysis report points out.

Tougher mortgage lending conditions during the first half of 2015 impacted the recovery of Scotland’s housing market, according to the report from real estate services firm Savills.

However, the market adjusted during the second half of 2015 due to a recovery in mortgage lending for house purchases across Scotland, which increased by 9% from 59,500 in 2014 to 64,800 in 2015.

On a Local Authority level, East Renfrewshire witnessed the strongest annual growth in the number of transactions during 2015 at 13% which the report says was boosted by the good schools effect.

Other star performers include Glasgow City, West Dunbartonshire and West Lothian, where annual transactional growth in 2015 was higher than Scotland as a whole.

Considering 2015 as a whole, prime sales, transactions at £400,000 and above, outperformed the overall market, with an 8% annual increase and much of this activity took place prior to the introduction of LBTT which brought higher rates of taxation to the prime market.

Furthermore, the number of transactions at £1 million and above reached its highest level since 2008. Prime markets in suburban and commuter areas across Scotland’s Central Belt performed strongly during 2015, with growth spreading out from core urban hotspots.

‘This upturn in demand is driving an improving development land market. Sentiment for development land in Scotland’s cities remains positive,’ said Faisal Choudhry, director of Savills Scottish Research.

With strong annual growth in the Savills Residential Development Land Index, particularly for greenfield land around Edinburgh, Perth and Stirling. The overall Savills index for greenfield land in Scotland increased year on year by 9.6% during December 2015 compared with December 2014.

Choudhry explained that the development market has been further supported by Government incentives, such as the Help to Buy Mortgage Guarantee and new build schemes, which made up 8% of all residential activity in Scotland between October 2013 and September 2015. The recently announced extension of Help to Buy (Scotland) scheme to 2019 is expected to further support Scotland’s new home sales.

The overall Savills index for urban land in Scotland increased year on year by 20.4% during December 2015 compared with December 2014.The increase in values, particularly in Edinburgh and Glasgow, reflects a rise in demand from housebuilders and developers, due to an improved economy, stronger markets and increased viability, Choudhry pointed out.

However, he also pointed out that the fall in sentiment within the Aberdeen development land market, due to the continued low oil price and uncertainty over the future of the industry, has impacted negatively on the overall Scottish development land index.