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Rent rises in England and Wales slowing, latest buy to let index suggests

Average monthly rents were 2.6% higher than in June 2012 but did not change month on month from the £737 recorded in May, the Buy to Let Index from LSL Property Services shows.

The latest figures reflect the fact that monthly rental inflation has been slowing for a number of months, and compares to an average 0.8% monthly increase in June over the five years since 2008.
 
The number of new tenants in June also indicated a slightly cooler rental market. Across England and Wales there were 0.8% fewer new tenancies in June than in May. However, activity has still seen strong annual growth.  The number of new lettings in June increased by 3.5% compared to the same month in 2012.

Regional variation remains. Five out of 10 regions saw rents rise in June. The sharpest monthly increase was in the East Midlands, where rents have risen 0.7% since May.  Second fastest were the North West and South West, with average rents in both regions seeing a 0.5% monthly rise.

The quickest monthly falls were in Wales, where average rents are down 1.9%.  Rents in Yorkshire and the Humber fell by 0.6% since May, while the West Midlands saw average rents drop by 0.5%.

Meanwhile, rents in the South East have fallen by 0.4% between May and June, representing a sharp decline from only the previous month. By comparison, between April and May the average monthly rent in the South East had grown by 0.2%.
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On an annual basis, rents in seven out of 10 regions remain higher than in June 2012. London remains the region with the fastest annual rent rises, up 6.4% from a year ago.  However June’s figure is much slower than the recent peak of 7.9% rental inflation registered in the capital in March. The East Midlands experienced the second fastest annual rises, with rents up 3.4% in June, followed by the North East with rents on average 2.5% higher than a year ago.

‘The proportion of households in the private rented sector is still growing strongly, a trend that’s set to continue for the foreseeable future. Yet with better access to finance in the first half of this year, the immediate picture has become far brighter for tens of thousands of first time buyers. And now these green shoots are starting to bear fruit for those still renting too, as milder competition for tenancies has kept a lid on the cost of renting,’ said David Brown, commercial director of LSL Property Services.

‘In the longer term, the number who can afford to buy a first home will be limited by some fundamental constraints such as earnings and the building of new homes. That’s why we expect average rents to at least match wider inflation in the coming years,’ he added.

For landlords, the total annual return on a rental property remained steady at 5.3% in June, after stronger capital accumulation countered slower rent rises. In absolute terms this represents an average return of £8,763, with rental income of £7,861 and a capital gain of £902. Gross rental yields averaged 5.3% in June, an improvement from 5.2% in June last year.

If rental property prices continue to rise at the same pace as over the last three months, the average investor in England and Wales could expect to make a total annual return of 9.5% per property over the next 12 months, equivalent to £15,773 per property.

‘Rents are still showing strong annual increases. Total returns are the same as a month before, and rental yields still represent a far more generous income than other assets of the same stability. A reinvigorated purchase market will drive more investment in the private rented sector, not less. So as we’ve started to witness in June, more supply could be good news for tenants as well as landlords,’ explained Brown.

The index also shows that total amount of rent late or unpaid increased slightly in June, rising by £4 million since May. Total arrears in June were £280 million compared to £276 million in May. This equates to 8.3% of all rent across England and Wales, compared to 8.2% of all rent in May.

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