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Prime office, retail and industrial property outlook positive for 2012

The latest economic forecasts from Jones Lang LaSalle suggest that barring the worst scenarios next year will see modest rental growth across major prime property sectors.

‘Against a sharp deterioration in economic sentiment, it is no surprise that there has been some downgrading of the outlook. However, whilst 2012 won’t be a vintage year, our forecasts show modest rental growth across major prime property sectors will continue,’ said Andrew Burrell, head of forecasting at Jones Lang LaSalle.

The consultants also forecasts that prime commercial sectors will have much greater resilience to economic fluctuations than during the previous global downturn, with capital values expected to be maintained in all sectors.

‘We are still seeing strong interest across prime property in traditional centres like London, Paris and Munich. Because these areas are perceived to be low risk, prices will remain high,’ said Robert Stassen, head of capital markets research EMEA at Jones Lang LaSalle.

‘Growth will be driven primarily by markets in North and Eastern Europe with Central East European centres such as Moscow and Warsaw having the most exciting prospects next year,’ he added.

Whilst investment sentiment has suffered due to economic uncertainty, prime property yields are also forecast to remain steady over the next 12 months.

‘Yields look relatively attractive and hold a premium compared to other assets, with bond prices at rock bottom levels in many markets. Despite this upbeat picture, significant threats remain,’ explained Burrell.

‘The risks are firmly on the downside in 2012, with the clearest one being uncertainty surrounding the eurozone crisis where much still needs to be done to regain market confidence,’ he added.