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UK housing supply halves in 10 years and first time buyers still struggle

The average number of properties available per branch in December 2015 fell to 37 properties, the latest housing market report from the National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA) shows.

It is the joint lowest figure for 2015 with September, and almost half the number available in December 2005 when there were an average 72 houses per branch. There were 45 houses available in December 2014.
 
While the number of house hunters registered per branch fell to 374 in December from 403 last month, an expected seasonal trend, the number of house hunters per branch has gradually increased year on year. In December 2014, there were 360 potential buyers registered at each branch, up from 302 in December 2005.
 
Low supply affected the number of sales in December, as NAEA members reported an average of seven sales per member branch, an expected seasonal dip, and the lowest recorded in 2015.
 
‘Whilst we expect figures for supply and demand to be seasonally low in December, 2015 overall does not paint a positive picture for the housing market. Supply of housing is half of what it was 10 years ago,’ said Mark Hayward, NAEA managing director.

‘Yet the number of home buyers on the books has been gradually increasing. When there is such a huge and widening gap between supply and demand, a level playing field seems further out of reach for many would be house buyers,’ he added.
 
The report also suggests that the Government’s recent efforts to help first time buyers enter the property market such as Help to Buy and plans to build new starter homes are yet to take effect. The number of sales to first time buyers stands 24%, a 2% drop from December 2014.
 
It also reveals that the recent 3% increase to stamp duty on buyers’ second properties has created movement in the market. Some 44% of NAEA agents have seen an increase in house buyers trying to beat these reforms, and snap up their properties before they come into force in April.
 
‘The issue of lack of supply needs to be solved, but it isn’t going to be done anytime soon. We are still waiting to see new homes being built and whilst we wait, house prices continue to rise,’ said Hayward.

‘There is some potential light for first time buyers however, once the new tax rate increase in April is in place we may see less investment from buy to let or second home investors, which may mean less competition for first time buyers,’ he added.

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