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Mainstream global house prices up 8.4% in 2013, latest index shows

The Global House Price Index rose by 8.4% in 2013 compared with 4.6% in 2012 with Dubai, China and Taiwan recording the largest annual rise in mainstream house prices ending the year 35%, 28% and 15% higher respectively.

However, despite Dubai’s stand out performance in 2013, mainstream prices remain 25% below their 2008 peak.
Improving employment prospects and the continuation of low interest rates in Europe and the US are together fuelling buyer confidence, the report points out.

Overall some 39 countries recorded positive annual price growth in 2013, a year earlier only 27 countries fell into this category.

Several emerging markets, despite their economic wobble in 2013, still recorded a strong performance. Turkey, Brazil, Indonesia and Colombia are ranked in the top 10 in terms of annual price growth, each having recorded double digit growth.

Europe continues to dominate the lower half of the table but the rate of decline is slowing in countries such as France, Spain and the Netherlands.

In 2013, Ukraine, Croatia and Greece were the weakest housing markets. Here, house prices ended the year 26%, 14% and 9% lower respectively as political tension and economic stagnation caused demand to wane.

At the opposite end of the scale, there is evidence that the fortunes of even the most embattled housing markets can change, and change swiftly. Prices in Ireland, the US, and the UK rebounded in 2013.

Between 2009 and 2011 Ireland occupied the index’s bottom ranking on no fewer than seven occasions. Ireland now ranks in 19th position in terms of house price growth, above Germany, Austria and Switzerland.

‘The speed with which stimulus measures are withdrawn (QE tapering), the ramping up, or down, of cooling measures in Asia and the repercussions of the political crisis in the Ukraine are likely to be the key determinants of the index’s performance during 2014,’ said Kate Everett-Allen, head of international residential research at Knight Frank.

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