The average at the end of 2016 is projected to be $1,396 compared to $1,381 in December 2015, according to the latest rent forecast from real estate data firm Zillow.
The firm is forecasting a decrease in the rate of rental appreciation amid a rental affordability crisis that has renters in some markets spending almost half of their income on rent.
Some of the fastest growing metros had double digit annual rental appreciation at the end of 2015 and Zillow expects rental appreciation to slow down most significantly in Nashville, San Francisco, Portland and Denver.
Rents in San Francisco saw a 12.5% rise in 2015 and the Zillow forecast is for growth in San Francisco to be 5.9% in 2016, half as fast as in 2015.
Even with the slowdown, rents will remain unaffordable in many of the major markets across the US, especially on the West Coast. Renters in San Francisco and Los Angeles can expect to spend 40% of their income on a rental payments.
‘Hot markets are still going to be hot in 2016, but rents won't rise as quickly as they have been. The slowdown in rental appreciation will provide some relief for renters who've been seeing their rents rise dramatically every single year for the past few years. However, the situation remains tough on the ground and rents are still rising and renters are struggling to keep up,’ said Zillow chief economist Dr. Svenja Gudell.
She pointed out that the slowdown in rental appreciation indicates that supply of new multi-family homes is catching up to demand. Substantial new housing supply is becoming available in Atlanta, Denver, Portland, Seattle, and other markets.