Skip to content

UK housing market activity slows amid mortgage rate volatility

UK housing market activity has declined sharply following a rapid withdrawal of mortgage products and rising borrowing costs linked to geopolitical tensions and inflation concerns. Estate agents report increased buyer and seller anxiety, with transaction volumes falling and price reductions becoming more common.

In Canterbury, 47% of homeowners who requested property valuations in the first quarter of the year proceeded to list their homes, compared with 68% in the same period in 2025, according to Andy Wicking, director of Charles Bainbridge estate agency. The data indicates growing hesitancy among potential sellers despite continued interest in market valuations.

Mortgage market disruption

Lenders withdrew hundreds of mortgage products within 48 hours in early March, replacing them with higher-rate alternatives as oil price volatility and inflation expectations shifted market sentiment. The average two-year fixed-rate mortgage stood at 5.90% on 12 April, up from 4.83% at the start of March and the highest level since July 2024, according to Moneyfacts data.

Brian Swint, an independent mortgage broker based in Brighton, said the market had moved from pricing in two or three interest rate cuts this year to anticipating potential rate increases. “That’s a huge swing within a month,” he noted, though he suggested much of the buyer concern may be disproportionate to the actual rate levels.

Transaction chains collapsing

First-time buyers with smaller deposits are withdrawing from purchases, causing transaction chains to collapse at the lower end of the market. Wicking said these buyers represent a critical segment for overall market function but are proving most vulnerable to rate volatility.

Martin Short, who has been attempting to sell a converted Georgian pub in Bekesbourne near Canterbury for three years, reported that viewings “dropped through the floor” following the escalation of Middle Eastern tensions. His property’s asking price has fallen from £750,000 to £525,000, affected by successive market disruptions including the 2022 mini-budget and uncertainty around recent government fiscal announcements.

Two transaction chains had already collapsed before the latest market disruption, with buyers unable to sell their own properties. Short said he knows of at least five properties in the area where asking prices have been reduced, with one property in nearby Sandwich returning to its price level from two years ago.

Price adjustments accelerate

Halifax reported that property prices fell 0.5% in March compared with February, pushing the average UK home price to £299,677, below the £300,000 threshold. Annual price growth slowed to 0.8% from 1.2% the previous month.

Canterbury estate agents are adjusting pricing strategies to attract buyers in the changed market conditions. Properties previously valued at £600,000 are now being listed at £575,000 to generate interest, according to Wicking. Surveyors are also increasingly down-valuing properties during the transaction process.

The city has attracted buyers relocating from London, where comparable properties can cost twice as much. However, this demand has softened as market conditions have shifted and buyer confidence has weakened.

Market outlook

Estate agents report that transactions are continuing, driven by what Wicking describes as “deaths, debt and divorce” – circumstances requiring property sales regardless of market conditions. However, agents are working to complete deals quickly to prevent buyer withdrawal as uncertainty persists.

The current market challenges follow broader shifts in property investor priorities and come amid ongoing adjustments to lending conditions across different property sectors.

The combination of mortgage rate volatility, geopolitical uncertainty, and weakening buyer confidence has created what market participants describe as a period of significant caution in the UK housing market, with activity levels and pricing both under pressure as the traditional spring selling season progresses.

Topics

Register for Free

Keep up to date with latest news within the residential and commercial real estate sectors.

Already have an account? Log in